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A multidisciplinary perspective on climate model evaluation for Antarctica

journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-18, 20:34 authored by Bracegirdle, TJ, Bertler, NAN, Carleton, AM, Ding, Q, Fogwill, CJ, Fyfe, JC, Hellmer, HH, Karpechko, AY, Kusahara, K, Larour, E, Mayewski, PA, Meier, WN, Polvani, LM, Russell, JL, Stevenson, SL, Turner, J, van Wessem, JM, van de Berg, WJ, Wainer, I
Over the twenty-first century, large changes in climate are projected for Antarctica and the Southern Ocean under scenarios of greenhouse gas increase and stratospheric ozone recovery. These changes would potentially have important environmental and societal implications, affecting, for example, sea level change, global ocean heat and carbon uptake, and ecosystem function. However, our ability to make precise estimates of these impacts is hampered by uncertainties in state-of-the-art climate models. Model evaluation is a key step in reducing this model uncertainty by helping to identify biases and shortcomings common to the current generation of models and highlighting priorities for future model development. The evaluation of climate models’ representation of Antarctic climate from the perspective of long-term twenty-first-century climate change was the subject of a workshop organized by Antarctic Climate 21 (AntClim21), one of six current scientific research programs of the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR; see www.scar.org/srp/antclim21).

History

Publication title

American Meteorological Society. Bulletin

Volume

97

Pagination

ES23-ES26

ISSN

0003-0007

Department/School

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies

Publisher

Amer Meteorological Soc

Place of publication

45 Beacon St, Boston, USA, Ma, 02108-3693

Rights statement

©2016 American Meteorological Society

Repository Status

  • Restricted

Socio-economic Objectives

Effects of climate change on Antarctic and sub-Antarctic environments (excl. social impacts)

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