University Of Tasmania
56 Serrao-Neumann.pdf (1.71 MB)

Marine governance to avoid tipping points: can we adapt the adaptability envelope?

Download (1.71 MB)
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-18, 16:47 authored by Serrao-Neumann, S, Julie DavidsonJulie Davidson, Baldwin, CL, Dedekorkut-Howes, A, Joanna EllisonJoanna Ellison, Neil HolbrookNeil Holbrook, Howes, M, Jacobson, C, Morgan, EA
Combined pressures from climate change, resources demand and environmental degradation could lead to the collapse of marine systems and increase the vulnerability of populations dependent on them. In this paper an adaptability envelope framework is applied to investigate how governance arrangements may be addressing changing conditions of marine social-ecological systems, particularly where thresholds might have been crossed. The analysis focuses on three Australian case studies that have been significantly impacted by variations or changes in weather and climate over the past decade. Findings indicate that, in some cases, global scale drivers are triggering tipping points, which challenge the potential success of existing governance arrangements at the local scale. Governance interventions to address tipping points have been predominantly reactive, despite existing scientific evidence indicating that thresholds are approaching and/or being crossed. It is argued that marine governance arrangements need to be framed so that they also anticipate increasing marine social-ecological system vulnerability, and therefore build appropriate adaptive capacity to buffer against potential tipping points.


Publication title

Marine Policy








School of Geography, Planning and Spatial Sciences


Elsevier Sci Ltd

Place of publication

The Boulevard, Langford Lane, Kidlington, Oxford, England, Oxon, Ox5 1Gb

Rights statement

Copyright 2015 The Authors Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0)

Repository Status

  • Open

Socio-economic Objectives

Institutional arrangements