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Oil prices and fiscal policy in an oil-exporter country: empirical evidence from Oman

journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-21, 08:07 authored by Al Jabri, S, Mala RaghavanMala Raghavan, Joaquin VespignaniJoaquin Vespignani
This paper studies the impact of oil price shocks on fiscal policy and real GDP in Oman using new unexplored data. We find that an oil price shock explains around 22% and 46% of the government revenue and GDP variation, respectively. Decomposing the government revenue and GDP further into petroleum and non-petroleum related components, we find that an oil price shock explains around 26% of the variation in petroleum revenue and 90% of the petroleum-GDP. Though petroleum and non-petroleum GDP respond positively to oil price shocks, government expenditure is not directly affected by oil prices but is affected by government revenue. The results suggest that the Omani government uses its reserve fund and local and international debt to smooth and reduce the impact of oil price fluctuations.

History

Publication title

Energy Economics:

Volume

111

Article number

106103

Number

106103

ISSN

0140-9883

Department/School

TSBE

Publisher

Elsevier Science Bv

Place of publication

Po Box 211, Amsterdam, Netherlands, 1000 Ae

Rights statement

© 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved

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  • Restricted

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