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Predicting and mitigating future biodiversity loss using long-term ecological proxies
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-19, 03:55 authored by Fordham, DA, Akcakaya, HR, Alroy, J, Saltre, F, Wigley, TML, Barry BrookBarry BrookUses of long-term ecological proxies in strategies for mitigating future biodiversity loss are too limited in scope. Recent advances in geochronological dating, palaeoclimate reconstructions and molecular techniques for inferring population dynamics offer exciting new prospects for using retrospective knowledge to better forecast and manage ecological outcomes in the face of global change. Opportunities include using fossils, genes and computational models to identify ecological traits that caused species to be differentially prone to regional and range-wide extinction, test if threatened-species assessment approaches work and locate habitats that support stable ecosystems in the face of shifting climates. These long-term retrospective analyses will improve efforts to predict the likely effects of future climate and other environmental change on biodiversity, and target conservation management resources most effectively.
History
Publication title
Nature Climate ChangeVolume
6Issue
10Pagination
909-916ISSN
1758-678XDepartment/School
School of Natural SciencesPublisher
Nature Publishing GroupPlace of publication
4 Crinan St, London, N1 9XW United KingdomRights statement
Copyright 2016 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer NatureRepository Status
- Restricted