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What drives the global official/policy interest rate?

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posted on 2023-06-22, 03:54 authored by Ronald Ratti, Joaquin VespignaniJoaquin Vespignani
We construct a GFAVAR model with newly released global data from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas to investigate the drivers of official/policy interest rate. We find that 62% of movement in global official/policy interest rates is attributed to changes in global monetary aggregates (21%), oil prices (18%), global output (15%) and global prices (8%). Global official/policy interest rates respond significantly to increases in global output and prices and oil prices. Increases in global policy interest rates are associated with reductions in global prices and global output. The response in official/policy interest rate for the emerging countries is more to global inflation, for the advanced countries (excluding the U.S.) is more to global output, and for the U.S. is to both global output and inflation.

History

Series

Discussion Paper Series 2015‐09

Pagination

10

Publisher

University of Tasmania

Publication status

  • Published

Rights statement

Copyright 2015 University of Tasmania

Notes

JEL Classification: E44, E50, Q43

Repository Status

  • Open

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    Tasmanian School of Business and Economics

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